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Guy Carpenter provides its clients with timely market and industry intelligence that informs competitive advantage.

We are their antennae for emerging risks and opportunities around the world, and the analysts they rely on to distill actionable meaning from oceans of data. Guy Carpenter’s Business Intelligence unit develops the best research in our sector. From bases in London, Singapore and New York, the team maintains tireless scrutiny of global markets, the companies that inhabit them, and the governments that influence them.

Much of their work is client-proprietary. This is a sampling of recent work that we can share more broadly.

For the latest bulletins on natural catastrophes and man-made events, visit our GC Analytics ® CAT Central portal.

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Latest market news, along with charts and analysis by Guy Carpenter subject-matter experts, is updated continuously on our blog, GC Capital Ideas. Subscribers can customize the feed to their areas of interest and get Guy Carpenter’s research summaries first.

Featured Content

These Are the Biggest Business Risks Today

Peter Zaffino, Chairman of Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Risk & Insurance Services segment and CEO of Marsh, outlines the greatest risk concerns of CEOs from multinational corporations and how businesses can keep pace with the changing nature of risk on Fortune.com.

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Global Catastrophe Review - 2015

Guy Carpenter’s Global Catastrophe Review reports that 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, while a positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation was evident both at the beginning and close of the year. Although these prominent climate drivers were associated with an exceptional tropical season in the Pacific and severe windstorms and flooding in Europe, 2015 was a quiet year in terms of global insured losses.

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Catastrophe Bond Update: Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015

Although 144A property and casualty (P&C) catastrophe bond primary issuance levels were charted as uncharacteristically low in the fourth quarter, totals at year-end were only slightly lower than the all-time high levels seen in 2014, with 2015 issuance totaling USD 5.917 billion, and outstanding risk capital totaling USD 22.640 billion, as of December 31, 2015.

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The Global Risks Report 2016

Disruptive shifts in technology, geopolitics, societal expectations, and economic patterns are creating instabilities that are directly impacting events in the world today. The World Economic Forum’s eleventh Global Risks Report highlights the issues that will exacerbate volatility and uncertainty over the next decade – while also presenting opportunities for governments and businesses to build resilience and deliver sustainable growth.

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Davos 2016

Follow the conversation at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

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Global Risks Report 2016

John Drzik, President of Global Risk and Specialties at Marsh and Chairman at Marsh &McLennan Companies Global Risk Center discusses the 11th edition of the Global Risks Report.

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Cyber Risk Handbook

The report provides insight and perspective on the challenges stemming from cyber risk, as well as ideas on how to approach cyber risk assessment and management. The compendium includes articles, report extracts, and perspectives from business leaders across Marsh & McLennan Companies as well as outside experts with whom we collaborate. It examines the full spectrum of cyber risk from a macro to a micro level and includes such topics as evolving cyber regulation, the value of sharing threat information, the role of the board, developments in insurance markets, cyber security talent challenges, and implementing effective response plans.

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Partnerships: The Way to Public Sector Risk Financing

This report examines the shifting economic and risk landscapes that are driving public sector entities to consider new approaches to risk financing. According to the report, approximately 73 percent, or $2.7 trillion, of natural catastrophe losses globally between 1970 and 2014 were uninsured. Heads of government, international trade organizations and private-sector risk bearers are seeking to re-examine roles and responsibilities through which societies can better manage these complicated risks. As governments across the globe examine new methods to manage and transfer this risk to the private sector, there are many developments underway to support this changing paradigm.

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U.S. WILDFIRE: AN EVER PRESENT HAZARD

This briefing provides insights into the ongoing threat of wildfires in the United States as well as risk mitigation strategies and portfolio modeling for this peril. The wildfire threat in the summer of 2015 was amplified by a strong ridge of high pressure that created very hot and dry conditions in the western United States. To support clients during a wildfire event, Guy Carpenter provides continuous updates to GC AdvantagePoint® with remote sensing-detected hot spots and actual wildfire perimeters provided directly from the USGS.

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Risk and Opportunity in the Year of ORSA: Annual Statistical Review

The report focuses robust analytics on risk and performance in the U.S. property/casualty insurance industry. There are 1,076 companies and company groups, comprising approximately 96 percent of the industry, included in the creation of the statistics. Research is presented for Underwriting Performance and Volatility, Reserve Development Risk, Uncertain Liability Duration, Correlation Concerns, Expense Benchmarking and Financial Management and Strategy.

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Regulation: A World View

This report provides an assessment of the development of solvency and other regulatory initiatives, including changes to capital requirements that are impacting (re)insurers. Today most (re)insurers are asking how can they cope with myriad developments in regulatory, legislative and ratings requirements to maximize opportunities and maintain profitable growth.

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A Clearer View of Emerging Risks

In this year’s report, “A Clearer View of Emerging Risks,” our goal is to assess the challenges facing the (re)insurance industry in modeling and quantifying the most pressing technological risks that society may face. Whether they are high-profile cyber attacks that could stretch across several industries or a nation’s power grid to the global phenomenon of longer life spans that are having a major impact on pension funds and annuity writers, these risks require the industry to ask different questions in order to formulate effective models that will provide a more robust view into how these risks could develop over time.

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The (Re)insurance Landscape
Mid-Year (Re)insurance Report - July 2015

In addition to providing a brief recap of July 2015 renewal activity, the report assesses key industry trends, including a detailed assessment of mergers and acquisitions activity and highlights other notable themes such as cyber security risk, increased regulation and public-private partnerships.

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