July 2026 Reinsurance Renewals
Traditional reinsurance market conditions persist, as alternative capital offers diversification opportunity for cedents
Key takeaways from the report include:
- Competitive reinsurance market continues, with global property catastrophe ROL index reducing to -16% at mid-year renewals.
- Casualty mid-year renewals continue to demonstrate nuanced outcomes, reflecting adequate capacity and differentiated pricing based on loss experience.
- Alternative capital growth offers diversification opportunity for cedents, with increased utilization of catastrophe bonds and parametric in property lines, sidecars and legacy solutions in casualty.
- Guy Carpenter has responded to ongoing geopolitical conflict through development of new specialty quota share products and a consortium, offering meaningful capacity where it was previously unavailable.
- Total loss reserve for 2024 Baltimore Bridge collapse increased to USD 2.8 billion from USD 1.5 billion; this will largely be borne by the marine reinsurance and retrocession markets, impacting 2027 renewals.
- Despite an expected quieter 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook driven by strong El Niño conditions, a weaker or late arriving El Niño will significantly impact suppression of Atlantic storms.